Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 517.006429 549.562318 583.372910 621.166570 662.303583 705.800017 755.369217
2026-02-01 476.152553 521.260620 569.993879 626.767056 691.354351 762.856141 848.430096
2026-02-08 450.202170 503.319531 562.360660 633.258655 716.621192 812.194462 931.022207
2026-02-15 427.356991 485.822212 552.301939 634.118152 732.965511 849.652892 999.510969
2026-02-22 408.424940 470.926578 543.388650 634.479325 747.173530 883.694831 1064.208900
2026-03-01 393.743463 459.770204 537.661557 637.475062 763.669438 920.251820 1133.031706
2026-03-08 378.908896 447.366076 529.367952 636.252968 774.038983 948.752185 1192.198535
2026-03-15 366.660968 437.340193 523.209703 636.928320 786.229951 979.489931 1255.357996
2026-03-22 355.196180 427.624506 516.766411 636.562323 796.543184 1007.677779 1316.052580
2026-03-29 344.898314 418.833849 510.937424 636.430475 806.742990 1035.712137 1377.626286
2026-04-05 336.976226 412.663870 508.066687 639.822746 821.505273 1070.307355 1450.220236
2026-04-12 328.299542 405.112449 502.976540 639.814040 831.295419 1098.053709 1514.016963
2026-04-19 322.231252 400.737159 501.864660 645.083945 848.581585 1137.227964 1597.437668
2026-04-26 316.820168 396.977815 501.336112 650.978177 866.805792 1178.427073 1686.405523
2026-05-03 312.119932 393.945119 501.580447 657.807539 886.475278 1222.508462 1782.602252
2026-05-10 305.595566 388.192250 497.838705 658.711845 897.301733 1253.532558 1859.440606
2026-05-17 299.276979 382.487553 493.912621 659.091854 907.192540 1283.374053 1936.024475
2026-05-24 294.254476 378.377426 492.014645 662.243965 921.252877 1320.231674 2026.796462
2026-05-31 288.041516 372.410527 487.273251 660.958048 928.317353 1346.109463 2100.039977
2026-06-07 282.790611 367.616227 484.006869 661.668664 938.387324 1377.167146 2184.422335
2026-06-14 277.456643 362.538808 480.147703 661.283555 946.601792 1405.414508 2265.498341
2026-06-21 272.452158 357.777639 476.573771 661.144822 955.098820 1434.400660 2349.837264
2026-06-28 268.784620 354.808817 475.485224 664.714373 969.632018 1474.224239 2457.551098